Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 190.747589 220.287656 253.827883 294.922175 344.174877 401.631741 474.204022
2025-09-28 150.366938 187.754289 234.392544 297.579875 382.089383 492.851511 651.750298
2025-10-05 133.658837 176.430053 233.533807 316.897087 438.138787 612.331869 889.675582
2025-10-12 121.165646 167.143443 231.961750 332.552303 489.492857 733.503308 1159.616675
2025-10-19 107.245246 153.149411 220.715468 330.867726 512.935929 815.421459 1387.475120
2025-10-26 98.949558 145.882101 217.784599 340.582693 555.099917 935.364451 1714.312390
2025-11-02 91.115116 138.101529 212.650669 345.320581 588.914500 1047.155399 2058.926816
2025-11-09 84.750045 131.742425 208.738550 351.115600 625.112599 1170.811495 2467.810008
2025-11-16 78.250093 124.341015 202.014640 350.594863 648.827692 1274.466994 2866.992452
2025-11-23 72.513236 117.556619 195.447116 349.190073 670.204008 1377.736838 3302.667647
2025-11-30 68.246361 112.831471 191.910790 352.943438 702.784670 1513.715350 3878.347505
2025-12-07 62.040234 104.062290 180.006262 338.289369 692.581671 1546.015430 4172.351988
2025-12-14 57.702859 98.703204 174.720255 338.301655 719.975125 1690.543645 4917.890631
2025-12-21 54.088850 94.369097 171.013055 341.431720 756.548740 1874.177426 5914.750346
2025-12-28 52.887755 94.423267 175.893045 364.202116 847.230629 2241.753641 7843.071225
2026-01-04 51.299130 93.524169 178.678535 382.688296 931.999200 2627.516936 10184.286328
2026-01-11 48.061476 88.993576 173.268445 380.697738 960.266401 2844.429456 11968.843972
2026-01-18 46.225921 87.116852 173.318411 392.181721 1030.592824 3237.377025 15058.991522
2026-01-25 44.098120 84.413191 171.203528 397.786175 1085.051177 3599.211809 18424.344706
2026-02-01 42.236010 82.086394 169.656286 404.644482 1145.747803 4017.303046 22735.986289
2026-02-08 40.043311 78.839854 165.606463 404.028048 1181.976691 4353.855060 27009.824229
2026-02-15 37.974452 75.680832 161.417019 402.365245 1214.579930 4694.184335 31922.577969
2026-02-22 36.424475 73.540719 159.446785 406.808459 1270.793526 5180.726134 39129.673802